Friday, 11 October 2019

第三季结

第三季组合因本地,中美,Brexit 内外夾擊,跌了6.93%。最傷是一路支持組合又重倉的本地Reits 大跌。地產一纇已帶夾-4.47%。期權帶來0.25%回報。

本季新加了GEO一條直債。期權主力做Short Side也多次成功。美股比重再調高

Saturday, 3 August 2019

七月結

大市在六月初在26800 水平見底,七月上破不了29000。組合加了的700,2601,3883回報不錯。386,2007 捱緊。


本月组合: -2.05% 相對恆指 -2.3% 的跌幅低。

REITS 也守不住,逆減息下跌,會考慮加倉。

700 正股+Short Put 雙嬴, 2601正股Ok,2628 Short Put 平了, 1093 Short Put 平了一手。

美股方面,BABA表現OK。Store Capital 繼續Hold 同AMD 正股Short Call 也在業績後平了。

S REITS 繼續升,下次派息會用作還Margin 息。

Bonds 作出了第一次買入。

UK Reits 加了BLND

Thursday, 1 August 2019

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Wednesday, 10 July 2019

六月結

大市在六月初在26800 水平見底,組合成功加了700,2601,3883,386,2007。月尾G20習特會也有正面消息,而美股先一步炒減息回升了。


本月组合: +5.83% 相對恆指 + 6.69% 的升幅低。

特步回升了,正通還在低位幸好倉位很少,建滔損失比較大因倉位不少,但已近殘值下半年希望好轉,中飛就希望下半年減息有機會再上。長和Short Put 成功平手走了。新創建繼續失望。

700 正股+Short Put 雙嬴, 2601正股Ok,2628 Short Put 也有利潤, 1093 Short Put 平了兩手。

美股方面,BABA 依計劃開始建倉。也加了Store Capital 同AMD。

S REITS 繼續升,下次派息會用作還Margin 息。

Tuesday, 18 June 2019

69,612,616 之我感

本星期因香港的情况,感到傷心,失望及憤怒。

一路以來也偏向政治冷感,但今次逃犯條例因影響每一個人就不得關注。政府的一意孤行,意見接受態度照舊,令人心寒。

有人鬧學生612暴力,但政府百萬人遊行也不理,照硬推上馬。老實說如果不是製造混亂去阻止,今天條例已經通過了。萬事也有因果。

每個人也從自身情况去看事情。中老年人經歷了香港最美好的時代,名成利就,自然希望現狀維持下去。年青人面對物價飛升,學位QE,國内精英的競爭,自然灰心,當失望成了絕望,自然希望打破困境。所以他們自然就會對立。

政治就是妥協的藝術,只有一人行前一步才有可能化解,希望有大智慧者領導香港。

天佑我城

Monday, 10 June 2019

五月結

五月由一開始恆指超過三萬點,一支大陰燭二千七百九十點,打穿了保歷加通道月線中線。固然是因為貿易戰重啓,再來加深環球經濟的憂慮。華為的事件更打擊了科技板瑰,組合冇可避免受到一定的傷害。

本月组合:-5.97% 相對恆指 -8.41% 的跌幅只是輕微好少少。

港股方面未有在跌八百點那一天狠心斬倉,令组合損失比預期大。特步,正通,建滔,中飛,二三線股是潮退時好難捱。長和也因Brexit 回落但因估值低,也可以守。新創建也十分失望,發揮不了避險功能。比較好是在高位走了平保再Long Put。Long Put 恆生也成功。

组合了700 正股+Short Put, 2601正股,2628 Short Put, 1093 Short Put

2388 Short Put 結算接了兩手,再在30元再Short Put。

美股方面,由於與港股有時間差,也成功在相對高位走了 AAPL, MSFT, V, NVDA, GOOS, BABA。BABA 業績大好,在165元開始建倉。

S REITS 加了Manulife US Reits 增加了美國房地產的Exposure


Saturday, 11 May 2019

五月過山車

五月開局本來一片光明,不過貪勝不知輸,月初睇指數有上升動力,一路有做的指數熊跨就想等上到30500先開,結果比特Thanos突襲,一個星期跌左3.74%。而家美股減了六成倉位,港股因二線股跌幅已近殘價而且注碼有控制暫時要坐,平保因為季績大好再在高位追回一半,而家買了LP作保險。長和就已經價殘,SP@77.5如果入價就接。所有REITS繼續坐同以股代息,新加了BTOU作為美國REITS的Exposure。

貿戰不知會怎樣,經過上次美股後來追跌的經驗,只剩四成倉位,而家是比較輕鬆,再看看後續發展再決定補回。

今次突襲基本上硬食了,學費交了當然要寫低佢:

1. 四月時因组合跑輸HSI,心急加了長和,同幾隻二線股,果然財不入急門。

2. 對冲不可以等最高位做,因為目的是保險而非希望賺錢。

3. 星期一基本上反應不來,應果斷減倉,貪心想博假跌。

4. 今次冇用指數期權,有了上年經驗,市場混亂時,指數完全可以亂Chok。今次用自己倉位的OTM LP 買保險就算了。

政治市基本上冇得估,不過利息就一定冇得升,再有可能放水。倉位會繼續高息股,REITS,Baby Bonds. 再跌就找本地股買或SP。

HK: 16, 27, 2, 2318, 2601, 2388, 11, 1299, 700, 1030,

S-REITS: RW0U, M44U, Me8U, BTOU

US: Visa, AMZN, GOOS, MSFT, APPL, NVDA, CRM, WDAY